Why did artificial intelligence fail to tackle the Corona virus?

Wednesday 15 April 2020



Over the past weeks, we have watched the spread of the Coronavirus (COVID-19), which was recently classified as a global pandemic, requiring precautions to be taken. With this disease, there was a lot of noise and misinformation, which increased the people's fear more than their benefit. But the most important question is where is the role of technology in combating this disease? And in particular the artificial intelligence that we hear about day and night.




Artificial intelligence is taking its first steps in many areas, and early detection of epidemics is one of them. There are many companies that have built systems that try to reveal the spread of epidemics in the world early, but these systems because they are still in their early stages have had a small role in combating the spread of the emerging corona epidemic.

In late 2019 and two days before the start of the New Year, Boston Children's Hospital HealthMap system was alerted to an unknown lung disease outbreak in Wuhan, China, but those responsible for this system did not take the alert seriously until a few days later. It seems that HealthMap was not the only one, Canadian company BlueDot noticed the same thing, and a third company called Metabiota was alerted to the outbreak as well.

You may get angry and wonder about the reason behind the delay of governments and global bodies in dealing with the spread of the disease despite the presence of early alerts, because early action would have prevented us from reaching the pandemic situation announced by the World Health Organization a while ago.

How do these systems work?
Many of these systems depend on reading and interpreting information from websites, social networks and official news sources. This matter involves many problems, the most important of which is “data quality.” In many cases, it is difficult to assess the quality of data, especially on social networks, which is a problem that people suffer from, so what How much with machines.

The more difficult it is to analyze data, the more media and modern coverage on social networks. Because we are entering its time in the stage of playfulness, and this is why these systems need human supervision to evaluate the results that have reached them, because these systems have built their expectations on the "words" of people, so the human supervisor may need to check his own resources such as hospitals and ministries in order to make sure before Issue any formal warnings.

These reasons lead us to think about future solutions that help the whole world better confront diseases and epidemics by providing high-quality data for artificial intelligence systems. Perhaps the best source of this data is "hospitals."

The hospital is the first place that any patient in any country around the world will go to in order to obtain treatment, and in the case of the new Corona virus, it is certain that a large percentage of infected people went to hospitals in order to obtain treatment, so the hospital may be the best and most accurate source for obtaining On data early, but this is a dilemma in itself.

A reliable data source about Corona
The problem lies in the difficulty of rapid access to hospital data in its open availability, as each hospital operates in a different system from the other, and patient data is distributed to many hospitals, but in a closed and isolated manner from the other, and despite the existence of the idea of ​​the electronic health record (EHR) for a long time, its application It is only done on a limited scale, and in some countries.

Everyone knows that we are living in the data age, and the availability of accurate data faster means fast analysis and decision-making, and this was the problem with the prevailing Corona virus, because many artificial intelligence companies rely on social networks and some other sources such as newspapers, the accuracy ratio does not compare Accurately data if it came from hospitals.

But if we provide direct access to data to these companies, this may entail some problems and breaches of privacy, and this means that we need to put in place legislation for such matters, and because the legislation does not go with technology in speed, the matter will take a long time.

It would be better if a government agency like the Ministry of Health adopted the linking of all hospitals to pour patient data into one government-owned data store. At the same time, companies that want to use this data are allowed to pay certain amounts in the form of subscriptions, and to adhere to some restrictions. Such as preventing the transfer of data outside the country, which are restrictions that will force companies to build everything locally, which will contribute to building a local health technology system and creating a new job market as well.

If we return to the Corona virus, if there are systems that read all hospital data in real time, the ministry and all hospitals will be alerted about the emergence of a new epidemic with certain symptoms, and this alert will go to some doctors in order to analyze the situation and set the appropriate procedures, and the stone teams will go to the places that appear There is an epidemic, and airports will examine people coming from the places where the disease appeared, and all these scenarios will happen very early and instead of tens of thousands of people getting infected, the damage may be reduced to hundreds or dozens only.

Returning to artificial intelligence, we must know that artificial intelligence depends primarily on data, and the accuracy of data and its source is very important to do the work as efficiently as possible, because it is like teaching a small child, if you teach the child false information, he will build on this false information and make his decisions Accordingly, artificial intelligence is like a child, so it must be provided with correct data in order to benefit from it better, but within the limits that we set so that this data is not misused.



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